In our Jun-24 report (29-May-24, US10Yr @ 4.57%), we were looking for the US10Yr to dip to 4.1% in June and bounce back to 4.6% by October. In line with the short-term view, Yields have come down across the Curve and the US10Yr saw a low of 4.20% on 17-Jun. We had also said that a fall in the US10Yr to 4.0-3.8% might happen if there is a growth slowdown.
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WHAT'S NEW?
August '24 Monthly Forecast
Our August '24 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
August '24 EURUSD Report
The recent fall in the USDJPY from 162 has been a major trigger for Dollar weakness over the past few weeks which has taken Euro higher as well. Will Dollar Yen continue to decline in the coming months and remain a major influencer on the FX markets for other currencies as well? In that case, will it continue to support Euro strength and Dollar weakness going ahead? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'24 Crude Oil Report
Brent has held above $74 and risen slightly. It may continue to move within the sideways range for some more time. Thereafter, will it break higher? Or fall lower below $74? Also will US actually see a recession? Or will data improve over the next few months and reduce recession chances? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '24 US Treasury Report
In our Aug-24 report (31-Jul-24, US10Yr @ 4.14%), we were looking for the US10Yr to consolidated between 4.1-4.4% in August, before falling to 4.0-3.8% by Sep-Oct. As it turns out, there was no consolidation in August and the 10Yr has already fallen to 3.8%. Powell has signalled a rate cut in September as .... Read More