In our last report (27-Nov-23, US 10Yr @ 4.425%) we were looking for US Yields to rise to 5.10% in the near term before falling again in H1-24. However, that did not happen and instead the Yields continued to fall without respite. In our Dec-23 report, we had become bullish on Crude compared to our Nov-23 report, but instead of rising, Brent broke below $80 to see a low of $72.29 before bouncing back a bit. In a bit of a “goldilocks” development, the Nov-23 Unemployment surprised by dipping to 3.7% from 3.9% in Oct-23 while the Nov-23 CPI dipped further to 3.12%.
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WHAT'S NEW?
July '24 Quarterly Forecast
Our July '24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
July '24 EURUSD Report
The Euro has risen well in July, especially after a lower US CPI data as the Dollar Index declined sharply. Will the Euro continue its current rise beyond 1.09? EURJPY has fallen sharply from 175.42 last week. Will it continue to decline from here? Or could there be some more upside to 180/182 before reversing? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
July'24 Crude Oil Report
Brent fell to test $76.76 in the beginning of June-24 after the OPEC extended its production cuts for Q3-2024 but the price has managed to rise from there by the end of the month. How long will the $70-90 sideways range hold? Thereafter which side is the breakout likely? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
July '24 US Treasury Report
In our Jun-24 report (29-May-24, US10Yr @ 4.57%), we were looking for the US10Yr to dip to 4.1% in June and bounce back to 4.6% by October. In line with the short-term view, Yields have come down across the Curve and the US10Yr saw a low of 4.20% on 17-Jun. We had also said that .... Read More