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January ' 24 US Treasury Report

In our last report (27-Nov-23, US 10Yr @ 4.425%) we were looking for US Yields to rise to 5.10% in the near term before falling again in H1-24. However, that did not happen and instead the Yields continued to fall without respite. In our Dec-23 report, we had become bullish on Crude compared to our Nov-23 report, but instead of rising, Brent broke below $80 to see a low of $72.29 before bouncing back a bit. In a bit of a “goldilocks” development, the Nov-23 Unemployment surprised by dipping to 3.7% from 3.9% in Oct-23 while the Nov-23 CPI dipped further to 3.12%.

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September '24 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast

WHAT'S NEW?

Sep '24 Monthly Forecast

Our September '24 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

WHAT'S NEW?

September '24 EURUSD Report

With EU Inflation within reach of its 2% target, will ECB cut rates today ahead of the FED policy meeting next week? Or will it skip and target a rate cut in Oct-24? ...Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct'24 Crude Oil Report

Brent fell sharply to test $68.68 in Sep-24 and rose sharply to $76.14 on 2nd October 2024 on an escalation of tensions in the Middle East. Where will the price move next? Will it sustain above $70 and move higher or will it fall back below $70 towards $65/60? ... Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Oct '24 US Treasury Report

Since our Sep-24 report (29-Aug-24, US10Yr @ 3.84%), Crude (WTI $68.22) has remained below earlier support now resistance; Inflation is mixed (PCE down a bit from 2.65% to 2.37% but Core PCE up a bit to 2.82% to 2.86%); surprisingly Unemployment has inched lower .... Read More

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