In our last report (27-Nov-23, US 10Yr @ 4.425%) we were looking for US Yields to rise to 5.10% in the near term before falling again in H1-24. However, that did not happen and instead the Yields continued to fall without respite. In our Dec-23 report, we had become bullish on Crude compared to our Nov-23 report, but instead of rising, Brent broke below $80 to see a low of $72.29 before bouncing back a bit. In a bit of a “goldilocks” development, the Nov-23 Unemployment surprised by dipping to 3.7% from 3.9% in Oct-23 while the Nov-23 CPI dipped further to 3.12%.
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WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '24 Quarterly Forecast
Our April '24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '24 EURUSD Report
Euro could not move above 1.0981 in March and has been trading well below 1.10 post the surprise rate cut by SNB last month. Will Euro continue to trade below 1.10? Or can it remain stable for a while and show a sharp breakout above 1.10? ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr'24 Crude Oil Report
After breaking above the earlier range of $70-85, Brent has moved up higher. Will it sustain and break above $90? Or will it fall back to $80/70? Find detailed analysis with 12-month numerical projections for Brent in the April 24 Monthly Crude report. ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
May '24 US Treasury Report
In our last report (26-Mar-24, US10Yr @ 4.25%), we were looking for the US10Yr to fall towards 3.8-3.5%, based on expectations of a fall in Crude and softer US data. However, we were wrong on both counts as .... Read More