In our last report (US 10Yr @ 3.548% on 21-Sep-22) we had said that a 4% end-2022 Fed Rate was fully priced in by the market. However, the 2022 FFR projection by the FOMC itself was put out at 4.4%. Thus, the US yields continued to rise after the 75bp hike in the 21-Sep FOMC, well past our cited resistance at 3.80% to a closing-high of 4.23% on 21-Oct, from where it has dropped a little now.
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Nov'22 Monthly Forecast
Our Nov'22 Monthly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Nov '22 EURUSD Report
With change in the currency markets brought about by the lower US CPI, has Euro bottomed out and confirmed reversal? Can Euro sustain higher despite higher inflation and more rate hikes in place from the ECB? ...Read More
Dec'22 Crude Oil Report
December is a crucial month for Crude oil and energy sector. With G7 price cap and EU embargo on Russian oil to kick off from 5th December and OPEC meeting on 4th December, crude could ... Read More
Dec'22 US Treasury Report
Since our last report (US 10Yr @ 4.014% on 28-Oct-22), the FOMC has raised the FFR by 75bp (on 02-Nov), the US Unemployment Rate has increased a bit to 3.7% from 3.5% and Wage growth rate has dipped to 4.73% from 4.98% (on 04-Nov), while the Core CPI has dipped a bit to 6.31% from 6.66% (on 10-Nov). Due to these, the US bond yields have softened a little. .... Read More