In our last report (30-Jan-23, US 10Yr @ 3.53%), we had said that a recession (which was the talk of the market at that time), might kick-in earliest by Oct-23 and as such, the FED may not cut rates in 2023. We had also said that the US 2Yr could still rise towards 5.25%, while the US 10Yr could still rise towards 4.00%. Since then, the talk of recession has faded away and instead the talk is about the persistence of inflation
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Sep'23 Monthly Forecast
Our September'23 Monthly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Sep '23 EURUSD Report
News from the ECB on hinting at possible pause in rate hikes earlier in July and then in September along with a higher US NFP data in early Sep-23 has aided Euro to fall and remain below 1.08 ...Read More
Sep'23 Crude Oil Report
Brent has been in a broad sideways range of $70-90 for quite some months now and has recently moved up towards the upper end of the range. Will it hold below $90 or can it break on the upside? ... Read More
Sep'23 US Treasury Report
We have been examining the market’s Inflation Expectation in our reports since May-23 and have said that the Breakeven Inflation Expectation can possibly remain above 2% and slowly rise towards 2.50-3.0% in the coming months. It is up from 2.18% in Apr-23. Can it rise further? .... Read More