In our last report (30-Jan-23, US 10Yr @ 3.53%), we had said that a recession (which was the talk of the market at that time), might kick-in earliest by Oct-23 and as such, the FED may not cut rates in 2023. We had also said that the US 2Yr could still rise towards 5.25%, while the US 10Yr could still rise towards 4.00%. Since then, the talk of recession has faded away and instead the talk is about the persistence of inflation
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WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'23 Monthly Forecast
Our September'23 Monthly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep '23 EURUSD Report
News from the ECB on hinting at possible pause in rate hikes earlier in July and then in September along with a higher US NFP data in early Sep-23 has aided Euro to fall and remain below 1.08 ...Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'23 Crude Oil Report
Brent has been in a broad sideways range of $70-90 for quite some months now and has recently moved up towards the upper end of the range. Will it hold below $90 or can it break on the upside? ... Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Sep'23 US Treasury Report
We have been examining the market’s Inflation Expectation in our reports since May-23 and have said that the Breakeven Inflation Expectation can possibly remain above 2% and slowly rise towards 2.50-3.0% in the coming months. It is up from 2.18% in Apr-23. Can it rise further? .... Read More