Since our last report (25-Nov-22, US 10Yr @ 3.67%) the US Fed Funds Rate has risen by 50bp in Dec, in line with expectation. The Core PCE (4.68%, Nov-22) has dipped below 5%, mirroring the dip in the Core CPI. The US 10Yr dipped to 3.46% on 08-Dec but has risen well since then, going against our expectation of a fall towards 3%. The 10-2Yr Spread (-0.57%) has surprised by bouncing well from -0.8% (02-Dec) instead of falling further towards our target of -1.0%.
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Jan'23 Quarterly Forecast
Our Jan'23 Quarterly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Jan '23 EURUSD Report
The Chinese Yuan has appreciated strongly against the US Dollar over the last couple of months and if it continues, can aid strength in Euro. Important would be to see how long the US Dollar remains weak. Other important things to look at would be ...Read More
Feb'23 Crude Oil Report
Crude looks stuck within a specific range and needs to give directional clarity on a break on either side of the range. Till then we might have to take cues for ... Read More
Feb'23 US Treasury Report
Since our last report (27-Dec-22, US 10Yr @ 3.75%) the Core PCE (4.42%, Dec-22) has dipped further. The entire Yield Curve has shifted lower by 14-26 bp since the last report. In particular, the US 10Yr dipped to .... Read More