Since our last report (27-Dec-22, US 10Yr @ 3.75%) the Core PCE (4.42%, Dec-22) has dipped further. The entire Yield Curve has shifted lower by 14-26 bp since the last report. In particular, the US 10Yr dipped to 3.36% on 19-Jan, almost in line with our expectation of a fall towards 3.25%. The 10-2Yr Spread (-0.69%) has dipped again seeing a of -0.72% in January, in line with our target of -1.0%.
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Mar'23 Monthly Forecast
Our Mar'23 Monthly Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Mar '23 EURUSD Report
After falling from 1.1033 in Feb-23, Euro has tested 1.0516 so far in Mar-23. Could Euro be ranged below 1.10 for some more time? Can it break below 1.05? ...Read More
Mar'23 Crude Oil Report
Crude has been in a sideways consolidation but it would be important to know how long it would continue to remain ranged. Will Crude prices continue to consolidate below ... Read More
Mar'23 US Treasury Report
In our last report (30-Jan-23, US 10Yr @ 3.53%), we had said that a recession (which was the talk of the market at that time), might kick-in earliest by Oct-23 and as such, the FED may not .... Read More