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Archive May-23:Get the Funda Right

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MAY - 2023
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-May-23 0:30 6:00 JP PMI   49.1 49.5 49.2 49.5
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   56.2 55.8 56.4 57.2
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   49.6 50.2 48.6 50.2
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   45.2 46.8 46.3 47.1
2-May-23 4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 3.60 3.60 3.85
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   49.4 47.2 47.0 45.3
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 45.5 47.3 45.8
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   47.7 46.6 47.9 47.8
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) Flash Estimate % 7.1 7.0 6.9 7.0
3-May-23 23:00 4:30 AU PMI   - - 5.6 -20.2
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   59.4 57.0 57.8 62.0
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.5
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K - 148 142 296
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - 5.25 5.00 5.25
4-May-23 1:30 7:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 13.30 13.00 14.15 15.27
  1:45 7:15 CN PMI   48.6 50.3 50.0 49.5
  12:15 17:45 ECB Mtg % - 3.75 3.50 3.75
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -77.0 -64.2 -70.6 -64.2
5-May-23 6:30 12:00 CH CPI   2.7 2.8 2.9 2.6
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -1.2
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 415 180 165 253
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US Average Hourly Earnings Production & Non Supervisory Employees % 0.53 - 0.4 0.4
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 22.6 34.7 41.4
10-May-23 12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4
11-May-23 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 0.3 0.7 0.1
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - -3.2 -2.5 -3.6
  11:00 16:30 BOE Mtg % - 4.50 4.25 4.50
  11:00 16:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 7-0-2 7-0-2 7-0-2
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.2 0.3 -0.4 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2
12-May-23 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -20.5 -17.5 -16.6 -16.4
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   4.99 4.84 5.66 4.70
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % -3.5 5.1 5.8 1.1
15-May-23 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 0.92 -0.20 1.34 -0.92
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % -0.3 -2.5 1.5 -4.1
  12:00 17:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -18.49 -19.50 -19.73 -15.24
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln 70.8 85.4 56.6 133.3
16-May-23 2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 10.9 3.9 5.6
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 22.0 10.6 18.4
  6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9
  9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - 0.1 0.1 0.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 5.6 -0.1 17.0
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.4 0.8 -0.8 0.4
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 4.6 3.7 4.3 4.4
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 80.3 79.7 79.4 79.7
17-May-23 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 7.1 7.0 6.9 7.0
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1439 1400 1371 1401
18-May-23 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K 69.7 24.1 61.1 -4.3
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   -23.3 -19.4 -31.3 -10.4
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 4201 4300 4430 4280
19-May-23 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -30 -27 -30 -27
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   4.0 2.5 3.3 3.6
23-May-23 14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 628 665 656 683
24-May-23 6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 8.5 8.2 10.1 8.7
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate   93.3 93.0 93.4 91.7
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 94.5 95.2 95.1 94.8
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 91.6 91.7 91.7 88.6
  18:00 23:30 FOMC Meeting Minutes   - - - -
25-May-23 12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 1.1 1.1 1.3
26-May-23 12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % -0.5 -1.0 3.3 1.1
30-May-23 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.6
  7:00 12:30 CH GDP % - 0.1 0.0 0.3
  9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   98.5 99.0 99.0 96.5
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % -1.0 -1.7 0.4 -1.2
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   98.6 99.1 103.7 102.3
31-May-23 12:00 17:30 IN GDP % - 4.6% 4.5% 6.1%
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - -0.1 0.1 0.0
                 
                 
Apr '24 Quarterly Forecast
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Apr '24 Quarterly Forecast
Our April '24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
April '24 EURUSD Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '24 EURUSD Report
Euro could not move above 1.0981 in March and has been trading well below 1.10 post the surprise rate cut by SNB last month. Will Euro continue to trade below 1.10? Or can it remain stable for a while and show a sharp breakout above 1.10? ...Read More
Apr'24 Crude Oil Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr'24 Crude Oil Report
After breaking above the earlier range of $70-85, Brent has moved up higher. Will it sustain and break above $90? Or will it fall back to $80/70? Find detailed analysis with 12-month numerical projections for Brent in the April 24 Monthly Crude report. ... Read More
April '24 US Treasury Report
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr '24 US Treasury Report
In our last report (23-Feb-24, US10Yr @ 4.25%), we had laid out our near term view (that the ongoing rise in the US10Yr may/ may not extend up to 4.5%), our medium term view (that the US10Yr can still fall to 3.5%) and our long term view of a rise towards 5.0% and higher going into 2025. .... Read More
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