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Archive May-22:US CPI v/s India CPI | US 10Yr Yield v/s India GOI Yield

The US CPI and India CPI have been following largely divergent paths since Jun-2017. Yet, the GOI 10Yr Yield (LHS) has mirrored the US 10Yr Yield (RHS). Why is the India Monetary Policy riding on the US monetary policy when the inflation dynamics in the two countries are different?
Economic Calendar 2021
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MAY - 2022
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
2-May-22 22:30 4:00 AU PMI   54.91 - 55.7 58.5
  0:30 6:00 JP PMI   53.82 53.4 54.1 53.5
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   55.16 53.8 54.0 54.7
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   66.84 60.5 64.0 62.5
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 55.3 56.5 55.5
  9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   118.01 108.0 106.7 105.0
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   58.48 58.2 58.9 56.2
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   57.48 57.5 57.1 55.4
3-May-22 4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 0.25 0.10 0.35
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   57.65 55.3 55.2 55.8
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 7.04 6.8 6.9 6.8
  11:30 17:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -21.20 -20.07 -18.52 -20.07
4-May-22 8:30 14:00 RBI Repo Rate % - - 4.00 4.40
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.98 -0.2 0.4 -0.4
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K 275 400 479 247
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -93.73 -106.6 -89.8 -109.8
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - < 1.00 < 0.50 < 1.00
5-May-22 0:30 6:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 9.06 7.80 7.44 9.31
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   55.40 54.0 53.6 57.9
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   1.77 2.5 2.4 2.5
  11:00 16:30 BOE Mtg % - 1.00 0.75 1.00
  11:00 16:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 8-0-1 8-0-1 9-0-0
6-May-22 12:30 18:00 US NFP K 311 390 428 428
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.6
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.65 0.4 0.5 0.3
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 39.5 72.5 15.3
11-May-22 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 1.9 1.5 2.1
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   6.4 7.8 8.3 8.0
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.8 0.2 1.2 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.36 0.4 0.3 0.6
12-May-22 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -14.26 -18.5 -21.6 -23.9
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.9
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   7.29 7.50 6.95 7.79
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 1.48 0.6 1.2 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.91 0.5 1.6 0.5
13-May-22 9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 1.02 -2.1 0.5 -1.8
  10:00 15:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -21.20 -20.07 -20.07 -20.11
16-May-22 2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 0.5 5.0 -2.9
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - -6.2 -3.5 -11.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - 2.3 -11.3 -17.6
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln 765.1 105.0 141.7 23.1
17-May-22 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 14.74 14.48 14.55 15.08
  9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - 0.2 0.3 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -1.4 - 0.3 0.8
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 78.48 78.5 78.2 79.0
18-May-22 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - -0.5% 1.1% -0.2%
  6:00 11:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 7.1 9.1 7.0 9.0
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 7.46 7.5 7.4 7.4
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1739 1770 1728 1724
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 7.0 6.7 6.7 6.8
19-May-22 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K 22.00 30.0 20.3 4.0
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   20.0 16.2 17.6 2.6
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 5613 5650 5750 5610
20-May-22 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -36 -39 -38 -40
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   2.0 - 1.2 2.4
23-May-22 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate Index 92.9 91.4 91.9 93.0
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 97.6 97.2 97.3 99.5
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 88.7 85.8 86.8 86.9
24-May-22 14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 749 750 709 591
25-May-22 12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4
26-May-22 12:30 18:00 US GDP % - -1.3 -1.4 -1.5
27-May-22 12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.52 0.5 0.5 0.4
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.62 0.3 0.3 0.3
30-May-22 9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   105.2 104.9 104.9 105.0
31-May-22 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5
  7:00 12:30 CH GDP % - 0.3 0.2 0.5
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 8.2 7.8 7.4 8.1
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % - 4.0% 5.4% 4.1%
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.5 0.9 0.7
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 19.2 19.8 20.3 21.2
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   104.8 103.9 108.6 106.4
                 
                 
June'22 Monthly Forecast
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June'22 Monthly Forecast
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