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Archive Mar-22:Indo-US CPI diferential & USDINR (Yearly % Change)

Period A, till Jun-17: Good correlation between the Indo-US CPI Spread and the Y/Y change in USDINR. The Rupee weakens if the CPI Spread increases, gains if it falls. As it should be. Period B, post Jun-17: Correlation between the Indo-US CPI Spread and the Y/Y change in USDINR breaks. The Rupee weakens if the CPI Spread increases, but not allowed to gains if the Spread decreases. WHY??
Economic Calendar 2021
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MARCH - 2022
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Mar-22 21:30 3:00 AU PMI   50.8 - 48.4 53.2
  0:30 6:00 JP PMI   56.7 52.9 55.4 52.7
  1:45 7:15 CN PMI   48.8 49.1 49.1 50.4
  3:30 9:00 RBA Meeting % 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10
  8:30 14:00 CH PMI   65.3 64.2 63.8 62.6
  9:00 14:30 EU PMI   - 58.4 58.7 58.2
  9:30 15:00 UK PMI   57.0 57.3 57.3 58.0
  13:30 19:00 CA GDP % - 0.0 0.6 0.0
  14:30 20:00 CA PMI   56.0 - 56.2 56.6
  15:00 20:30 US Manufacturing ISM   59.4 58.0 57.6 58.6
2-Mar-22 0:30 6:00 AU GDP % - 3.0 -1.9 3.4
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   55.5 54.3 54.0 54.9
  13:00 18:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -15.83 -21.20 -17.43 -21.20
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K -372 378.0 512 475
  14:00 19:30 BOC Meeting % - 0.50 0.25 0.50
3-Mar-22 0:30 6:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 10.20 9.55 8.82 12.89
  7:30 13:00 CH CPI   1.2 1.8 1.6 2.2
  10:00 15:30 EU Unemp % 7.0 6.9 7.0 6.8
4-Mar-22 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8
  5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   53.3 53.0 51.5 51.8
  10:00 15:30 EU Retail Sales % -3.3 1.5 -2.7 0.2
  13:30 19:00 US NFP K 530 400 481 678
  13:30 19:00 US Unemployment Rate % 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.8
  13:30 19:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.7 0.5 0.6 0.0
8-Mar-22 9:00 14:30 EU GDP % - 0.3 2.3 0.3
  13:30 19:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -85.6 -87.5 -82.0 -89.7
9-Mar-22 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 1.4% 1.3% 1.1%
  1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 0.9 0.9 0.9
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   7.1 8.5 9.1 8.8
10-Mar-22 0:45 6:15 ECB Mtg % - 0.00 0.00 0.00
  13:30 19:00 US CPI (MoM) % 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.8
  13:30 19:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5
11-Mar-22 7:00 12:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -11.0 -12.6 -12.4 -26.5
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % -1.9 1.5 0.7 1.3
  13:30 19:00 CA Labour Force K - 123.0 -200.1 336.6
14-Mar-22 6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 12.80 12.10 12.96 13.11
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   5.68 5.93 6.01 6.07
  13:00 18:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -15.83 -21.20 -21.20 -20.88
15-Mar-22 2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 4.0 4.3 7.5
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 3.0 1.7 6.7
  7:00 12:30 UK Unemp % 4.2 4.0 4.1 3.9
  10:00 15:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 1.2 0.1 1.3 0.0
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.8
  12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.2
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln 240.2 90.0 114.5 58.8
16-Mar-22 12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % 1.9 - 5.7 0.0
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 5.2 5.5 5.1 5.7
  18:00 23:30 US FOMC Meeting % - < 0.50 < 0.25 < 0.50
17-Mar-22 0:30 6:00 Australia Labour Force K 53.1 40.3 28.3 77.4
  10:00 15:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 5.2 5.8 5.1 5.9
  12:00 17:30 BOE Mtg % - 0.75 0.50 0.75
  12:00 17:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 9-0-0 9-0-0 8-0-1
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   37.0 15.1 16.0 27.4
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1670 1700 1657 1769
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % -1.3 0.6 1.4 0.6
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 77.5 77.9 77.3 77.6
18-Mar-22 23:30 5:00 JP CPI   0.8 0.3 0.5 0.9
  3:00 8:30 BOJ Meeting % - -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
  10:00 15:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - -9.1 -9.7 -7.7
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 6389 6100 6490 6020
23-Mar-22 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 5.6 6.0 5.4 6.1
  14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 799 815 788 772
24-Mar-22 8:30 14:00 SNB Mtg % - -0.75 -0.75 -0.75
  12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.9 -0.5 1.6 -2.2
  12:30 18:00 US Current Account Balance $ Bln -223.1 -218.0 -219.9 -217.9
25-Mar-22 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -26 -30 -26 -31
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Climate Index 99.3 94.2 98.5 90.8
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 99.4 96.4 98.6 97.0
  9:00 14:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 100.6 92.0 98.4 85.1
29-Mar-22 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 18.7 18.7 18.6 19.1
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   112.6 106.9 105.7 107.2
30-Mar-22 9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   113.2 110.0 113.9 108.5
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - 7.0 6.8 6.7
  13:15 18:45 US ADP Emp K 597 455 486 455
31-Mar-22 6:00 11:30 UK GDP % - 1.0 0.9 1.2
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.8
  12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.5
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.2 0.1 0.2
                 
                 
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