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Archive Aug-22:India GDP Growth - US GDP Growth Spread Sensex in $ terms Y/Y - Dow Y/Y Spread

1997-2009: The rate at which Bharatiya GDP growth outperformed US GDP growth increased from -0.4% to 11.1%. Thus, the excess of Dollar-returns-on-Sensex over the DJIA increased from -40% to +71%. 2010-2020: Bharatiya GDP growth outperformed US GDP growth at an average of 3-4%. Therefore, the Dollar-returns on the Sensex was roughly the same as the retruns on the Dow. Only if Bharat outpaces US at an increased rate of near 7% can we hope for good Sensex outperformance in Dollar terms.
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AUGUST - 2022
DATE TIME ECONOMIC DATA UNIT EXPECTATIONS PREV ACTUAL
  GMT IST     KSHITIJ MARKET    
1-Aug-22 22:30 4:00 AU PMI   54.7 - 54.0 52.5
  1:30 7:00 JP PMI   52.9 52.2 52.7 52.1
  1:45 7:15 CN PMI   50.5 51.6 51.7 50.4
  5:00 10:30 IN Manufacturing PMI   57.0 53.8 53.9 56.4
  8:00 13:30 EU PMI   - 49.6 52.1 49.8
  8:30 14:00 UK PMI   52.5 52.2 52.8 52.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Unemp % 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6
  14:00 19:30 US Manufacturing ISM   52.4 52.3 53.0 52.8
2-Aug-22 4:30 10:00 RBA Meeting % - 1.85 1.35 1.85
  7:30 13:00 CH PMI   57.6 55.8 59.1 58.0
  12:30 18:00 IN Trade bal $ Bln -23.42 - -26.18 -31.02
  13:30 19:00 CA PMI   53.5 - 54.6 52.5
3-Aug-22 5:00 10:30 IN Services PMI   57.9 58.5 59.2 55.5
  6:30 12:00 CH CPI   3.6 3.6 3.4 3.5
  9:00 14:30 EU Retail Sales % -0.3 0.0 0.4 -1.2
4-Aug-22 0:30 6:00 Australia Trade Balance A$ Bln 14.65 14.00 15.02 17.67
  11:00 16:30 BOE Mtg % - 1.75 1.25 1.75
  11:00 16:30 UK BOE Minutes   - 9-0-0 9-0-0 9-0-0
  12:30 18:00 US Trade Balance $ Bln -83.6 -81.5 -84.9 -79.6
5-Aug-22 4:30 10:00 RBI Repo Rate % 5.40 5.25 4.90 5.40
  4:30 10:00 RBI Rev Repo Rate % - 3.35 3.35 3.35
  4:30 10:00 RBI MSF % - - 5.15 5.65
  12:30 18:00 US NFP K 308 250 398 528
  12:30 18:00 US Unemployment Rate % 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5
  12:30 18:00 US Avg Hrly Earnings   0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
  12:30 18:00 CA Labour Force K - 18.2 -43.2 -30.6
10-Aug-22 1:30 7:00 CN CPI (YoY)   - 2.9 2.5 2.7
  1:30 7:00 CN PPI   - 4.9 6.1 4.2
  12:30 18:00 US CPI (MoM) % 1.0 0.2 1.3 0.0
  12:30 18:00 US Core CPI (MoM) % 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.3
11-Aug-22 12:30 18:00 US PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM) % 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3
  12:30 18:00 US PPI % 0.9 0.3 1.0 -0.5
12-Aug-22 6:00 11:30 UK Trade Bal GBP (Bln) -24.0 -22.3 -20.7 -22.8
  7:00 12:30 UK GDP % - -0.2 0.8 -0.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Ind Prodn (MoM) % 0.7 0.1 2.1 0.7
  12:00 17:30 IN IIP % 22.0 - 19.6 12.3
  12:00 17:30 IN CPI   7.14 7.03 7.01 6.71
  13:00 18:30 IN Trade bal $ Bln -23.42 - -31.02 -30.00
15-Aug-22 23:50 5:20 JP GDP % - 0.7% -0.1% 0.5%
  2:00 7:30 CN IIP (YoY) % - 4.5 3.9 3.8
  2:00 7:30 CN Retail Sales % - 5.0 3.1 2.7
  20:00 1:30 US TICS (Net foreign purch of long-term Sec) $ Bln -123.3 -14.8 155.3 121.8
16-Aug-22 6:00 11:30 UK Unemp % 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8
  6:30 12:00 IN WPI % 14.40 14.20 15.18 13.93
  9:00 14:30 EU Trade Bal EUR Bln - -22.2 -27.2 -30.8
  12:30 18:00 US Housing Starts K 1601 1530 1599 1446
  12:30 18:00 CA Inflation Y/Y % 8.3 7.6 8.1 7.6
  13:15 18:45 US Industrial Production % 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6
  13:15 18:45 US Capacity Utilization % 80.3 80.2 79.9 80.3
17-Aug-22 7:00 12:30 UK CPI Y/Y % 9.8 9.8 9.4 10.1
  9:00 14:30 EU Flash GDP % - 0.7 0.7 0.6
  12:30 18:00 US Retail Sales (MoM) % -0.3 0.1 0.8 0.0
18-Aug-22 1:30 7:00 Australia Labour Force K 39.5 26.5 88.4 -40.9
  9:00 14:30 EU CPI (YoY) % 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.9
  12:30 18:00 US Philifed Index   2.0 -4.9 -12.3 6.2
  14:00 19:30 US Existing Home Sales K 5013 4870 5110 4810
19-Aug-22 23:05 4:35 UK Cons Conf   -40 -42 -41 -44
  23:30 5:00 JP CPI   2.7 2.2 2.3 2.6
23-Aug-22 14:00 19:30 US New Home Sales K 559 574 585 511
24-Aug-22 12:30 18:00 US Durable Goods Orders % 0.8 0.9 2.2 0.0
25-Aug-22 8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Climate   87.5 86.7 88.7 88.5
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Situations Index 97.4 96.0 97.7 97.5
  8:00 13:30 GER IFO Business Expectations Index 78.4 78.6 80.4 80.3
  12:30 18:00 US GDP % - -0.8 -0.9 -0.6
26-Aug-22 12:30 18:00 US Personal Income % 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.2
  12:30 18:00 US PCE Price Index M/M % 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.1
30-Aug-22 23:30 5:00 JP Unemp % 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
  9:00 14:30 EU Biz Climate   100.2 102.0 98.9 97.6
  13:00 18:30 US Case Schiller % 20.1 19.2 20.5 18.7
  14:00 19:30 US Cons Conf   90.9 97.4 95.3 103.2
31-Aug-22 9:00 14:30 EU CPI Flash Estimate (YoY) % 8.5 9.0 8.9 9.1
  12:00 17:30 IN GDP % 5.63% 15.2% 4.1% 13.5%
  12:15 17:45 US ADP Emp K 630 310 128 132
  12:30 18:00 CA GDP % - 0.2 0.0 0.1
                 
                 
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