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Risk:
Risk and Predictability



Thank you for taking part in this small game. You can see below graphs of two different currencies. Please make a prediction as to where each graph is headed in the boxes below the graphs by attaching a Probability to each possibility. The possibility with the highest probability is your preferred prediction. Just to remind you, the probabilities have to add up to 100. We have removed the rates and time from the axes of the graphs as they are irrelevant in this game.

The Colour of Money - Ongoing issues in Risk Management

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Currency A

Graph: Currency A Currency A will move
Direction Probability
(should total 100)
Up
Down
Sideways
Can't Say
-----------
Total
  
  

Currency B

Graph: Currency B Currency B will move
Direction Probability
(should total 100)
Up
Down
Sideways
Can't Say
-----------
Total

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